NIKKEI——日本经济新闻中文版

      物价方面，受非洲猪瘟（ASF）蔓延影响，猪肉价格大幅上涨。工银国际首席经济学家程实指出，蔬菜价格也呈上涨倾向，有必要注意通货膨胀超过预期，出现扩散的风险。

      此外经济学家还很关心基础设施投资等财政政策。瑞穗银行主任研究员细川美穗子指出，由于2020年是防范金融风险、脱贫攻坚战和市场化改革的收官之年，预计“将通过以基础设施投资为中心的政策来托举结构改革产生的经济下行效应”。凯基证券陈浩指出，将增加财政赤字和地方专项债，强化基础设施投资。

北京超市的肉类卖场（kyodo）

      一方面，也有不少观点认为，“中国将减少促使经济短期增长的经济刺激政策”（宝盛集团的Sophie Altermatt）。建银国际证券的苏国坚认为，由于聚焦中长期债务风险的政策将持续下去，建筑和房地产行业的成长将欠缺力量。

     关于持续混乱的香港经济增长率预测平均值，此次调查的结果是2019年为负1.4%，2020年为负0.3%。自雷曼危机后的2009年以来首次全年陷入负增长。德意志资产管理公司（DWS）的肖恩·泰勒(Sean Taylor)指出，“预计抗议活动还将持续一段时间，零售和旅游行业将受到冲击。即使情况稳定下来，旅游业的复苏也需要一定时间”。

    日本经济新闻（中文版：日经中文网）木原雄士 香港报道

The economists who responded to the survey were: Arjen van Dijkhuizen, senior economist, ABN Amro Bank; Helen Qiao, China & Asia economist, Bank of America; Chen Xingdong, chief China economist, BNP Paribas; Ricky Choi, senior economist, economic research division, Bank of China (Hong Kong); Peter So, managing director and co-head of research, CCB International Securities Limited; Qun Liao, chief economist and general manager of research department China, Citic Bank International; Kevin Lai, chief economist, Asia ex-Japan, Daiwa Capital Markets; Chris Leung, chief China economist, group research, DBS Bank; Sean Taylor, chief investment officer, Asia Pacific, DWS; Kenny Wen, wealth management strategist, Everbright Sun Hung Kai; Thomas Shik, chief economist, head of economic research, Hang Seng Bank; Qu Hongbin, chief China economist, HSBC; Cheng Shi, chief economist, ICBCI; Iris Pang, Greater China economist, ING Bank; Shen Jianguang, chief economist, JD Digits; Sophie Altermatt, economist, Julius Baer; Ken Chen, Chinese economy analyst, KGI Asia Limited; Larry Hu, head of China economics, Macquarie; Mihoko Hosokawa, research executive, Mizuho Bank (China); Xiao Chun Xu, economist, Moodys Analytics; Fan Xiaochen, director, MUFG Bank; Jianwei Xu, senior economist, Greater China, Natixis; Ting Lu, chief China economist, Nomura; Standard Chartered Bank (HK) and Tao Wang, head of China economic research, UBS and Tetsuji Sano, chief Asia economist, Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management; Shuang Ding, head of Greater China economic research.